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Powerful Times : Rising to the Challenge of Our Uncertain World


Eamonn Kelly



0131855204
Retail Price: $32.99
LS Price: $22.43
You Save: $10.56 (32%)


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Format: Hardcover, 288pp.
ISBN: 9780131855205
Publisher: Wharton School Publishing
Pub. Date: September 22, 2005

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Description and Reviews
From The Publisher:

Understand the most revolutionary human transformation in four centuries... and prepare for it!

We’re not just living through an "age of change." We’re experiencing a change of age: the most profound inflection point in human history since the Enlightenment.

That’s the thesis of Eamonn Kelly’s remarkable new book, Powerful Times. From terrorism and nuclear proliferation to emerging technologies that could change the nature of humanity to the rise of new and innovative economic powers, Kelly weaves together seven powerful "dynamic tensions" that will fundamentally reshape human life in the coming decades. Kelly offers breakthrough insights into how these tensions will conflict and interact to create huge waves of change beyond anything we’ve seen before. Using scenario thinking techniques pioneered at Royal Dutch/Shell and nurtured at Global Business Network, Kelly evokes the different futures that might unfold as a result of the interplay of these dynamic tensions and the profound implications for society and business. Whether you’re an executive, strategist, entrepreneur, policymaker, or citizen, this book delivers actionable insights of incomparable breadth and depth. Use it to understand and prepare for what’s comingand to transform this moment of uncertainty and complexity into unprecedented opportunity.Among the themes explored:
  • Paradoxes of power in an age of terror: Unprecedented dilemmas for the world’s only superpower
  • Unexpected consequences of transparency: Ubiquitous information bring new clarity but also confusion, conspiracies, and craziness
  • The virtual and tangible economies: Economic value is increasingly intangible, even as physical infrastructure matters more
  • Technology acceleration and pushback: Computing, biotech, nanotech: breakthroughs, catastrophes, or both?
  • New forms of governance: The resurgence of local and global innovations in democracy
  • The widening human footprint: The impact of 9 billion people on an increasingly challenged planet


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Reviews

"Anyone trying to anticipate the future—to seize the great investment opportunities or to dodge potentially enterprise-ending risks—should pay attention to Eamonn Kelly’s insights, honed from years of scenario thinking on the world business stage. A distinguished futurist, Kelly has filled his canvas so richly that any perspective will gain from his explication of the global forces that envelop all human enterprise—from the impacts of India, China, and AIDS to the range of energy or meteorologic futures that could unfold from this moment forward. Kelly argues cogently that while continued wealth and prosperity are plausible, they are no one country’s or region’s manifest destiny."
—Eric Best, global scenario strategist, Morgan Stanley


 
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About the Author

Eamonn Kelly is the CEO of Global Business Network (GBN), the renowned scenario and strategy consultancy and futures network, and a partner of the Monitor Group. For over a decade, Kelly has been at the forefront of exploring the emergence of a new economic, social, and geopolitical order and its far-reaching consequences for organizations and individuals. He has developed insights, tools, and methodologies for mastering risk and uncertainty and has consulted at senior levels to dozens of the world’s leading corporations, governmental agencies, and major philanthropic organizations. Before joining GBN, Kelly directed strategy at Scottish Enterprise, the national economic development organization. A graduate of the universities of Glasgow (economics and drama) and Strathclyde (MBA), Kelly also co-authored What’s Next: Exploring the New Terrain for Business (2002) and The Future of the Knowledge Economy (1999).

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Table of Contents
Acknowledgments
Preface
1History Unleashed


I. WHAT’S HAPPENING?: PREDICTING THE PRESENT
2Clarity and Craziness
3Secular and Sacred
4Power and Vulnerability
5Technology Acceleration and Pushback
6Intangible and Physical Economies
7Prosperity and Decline
8People and Planet


II. WHAT IF?: CHANGING FOR THE CHALLENGES AHEAD
9Governance
10Innovation


III. WHAT’S NEXT?: SCENARIOS FOR THE NEXT DECADE
11Three Snapshots of the Future


IV. SO WHAT?: ACTING IN AN ERA OF TRANSFORMATION
12Creating Our New Future
Endnotes
Afterword: Using This Book in Your Life and Work


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