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The Bull Inside the Bear: Finding New Investment Opportunities in Todays Fast-Changing Financial Markets

Robert Stein

Retail Price: $29.95
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Format: Hardcover, 203pp.
ISBN: 9780470402207
Publisher: Wiley
Pub. Date: March 3, 2009

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Description and Reviews
From The Publisher:

The meltdown in the credit markets, the decline in housing prices, and the turmoil in the stock market have rocked the world of the everyday investor. The idea that home ownership and a buy-and-hold stock market strategy are the best long-term investments has suddenly been thrown into question. With bearish investment experts touting historical research that suggests both real estate values and the stock market could stagnate for years to come, our financial future—including the retirement funds of millions of Americans—is in jeopardy.

In The Bull Inside the Bear, investment manager and former Federal Reserve economist Robert Stein believes the economy is entering uncharted waters and explains why investors need to actively manage their portfolios to take advantage of new opportunities and avoid risky sectors to limit losses. The key will be to stay nimble and be ready to rebalance your position as economic conditions change, while utilizing innovative products such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to diversify your portfolio.

Written in a straightforward and accessible style, this reliable resource opens with a detailed discussion of the economic lessons we can learn from recent decades. Stein looks at everything from gold in the 1970s through the tech bubble of the 1990s to the credit crisis of the present decade, and addresses the need to pay close attention to the warning signs of changing times. After becoming aware of the broader economic landscape, you'll discover how to make better investment choices—which means not following the crowd to an overbought market or sector, and not becoming wedded to your favorite investment strategy. You'll also learn to watch for key data points to make investment decisions, so you won't have to hastily react to every crisis and market blip.

Investing has become far more volatile and challenging than ever before following the implosion of the credit bubble, massive deleveraging of assets, and the global recession. However, this environment, and the impending inflation to follow, will create opportunities in areas such as equities, commodities, fixed-income, and currencies. Stein skillfully shows you how finding the bulls inside these bears can put you in a better position to make more informed investment decisions and benefit from the bubbles, bursts, and blips that will continue to occur in the years ahead.

Filled with practical advice that cannot be ignored, The Bull Inside the Bear will allow you to prosper in a new and challenging investment environment.


"As always, Rob's insights are on target and could be very useful as average Americans look at ways to navigate the market."
—Rahm Emanuel, White House Chief of Staff

"Rob gets it. The market offers opportunities to those who seek them, not blithely ignore them. Rob guides you without once talking down to you, which is why I look up to him."
—Neil Cavuto, Fox News

"Rob Stein and Steven Levitt (Freakonomics) are members of a very elite club: economists who can make otherwise dry topics wildly intriguing. That's why I have their books on my bookshelf and why you should buy this book. When your work speaks for itself, don't interrupt."
—Jon "Doctor J" Najarian, author of How I Trade Options

"Rob's experience has molded his ability to analyze the markets with the speed and decisiveness of a trader and the thoughtful overview of an economist. This is the perfect combination that you'll find with The Bull Inside the Bear."
—Andrew B. Busch, Global FX Strategist, BMO Capital Markets

readers index
Reader's Index 
Send us your favorite quotes or passages from this book.

• "The problem is one of delveraging of assets and the lack of liquidity. Deleveraging is just a fancy way of saying that a particular asset—a house, for example—can only be valued based on factors such as the location, size, type of property, and so forth. If this sounds like a return to the good ol’ days when a perspective buyer with a down payment in cash met with the local banker to discuss a mortgage, it is." Pg. 135

• The recurring cycles of expansion, peak, contraction, and trough, have not changed—thankfully. We need all four for a healthy economy, the contraction just as much as the expansion, even though most people think of contraction as “negative” or “bad for the economy.” Pg. 22


About the Author

Robert Stein is an economist, portfolio manager, and Senior Partner of Astor Asset Management, LLC, which uses a macroeconomic model to make investment decisions. Stein is also managing partner of ETFPort.com, the Web's premier location to find and research exchange-traded funds. He writes frequently about the markets, and has been featured in the Wall Street Journal, BusinessWeek, the New York Times, and USA Today, and can be seen on CNN, CNBC, Fox News, Bloomberg Television, and ABC News.

Table of Contents

Part I The Credit Market Meltdown1
How Has the World Changed?3
Bubbles, Bursts, and Blips: A View of the Past25
Inflation: The Factor That Is Always with Us55
Part II What Does It All Mean for Me?75
The Credit Cycle77
The Housing Bubble: From Watch to Warning93
The Fed as FEMA111
Your Next Opportunity127
Part III Investment Lessons to Live By149
ETFs: The Perfect Investment151
Nimble and Aware: Focusing on the Big Picture169
Thoughts on Life - and Investing185
About the Author199

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